Estudo aprovado e publicado no Simpósio de Engenharia de Produção 2024 (XXXI SIMPEP) - ISSN: 1809-7189 Autores: Adrielle Helena Mannrich, Daniel Christian Henrique
Estudo aprovado e publicado no Simpósio de Engenharia de Produção 2024 (XXXI SIMPEP) - ISSN: 1809-7189. Autores: Daniel Christian Henrique, João Carlos Prats Ramos (Bolsista Pibic), Luiz Ricardo Mendes da Silva
Estudo aprovado e publicado no Simpósio de Engenharia de Produção 2024 (XXXI SIMPEP) - ISSN: 1809-7189 Autores: Daniel Christian Henrique, Adrielle Helena Mannrich.
Estudo aprovado e publicado no Simpósio de Engenharia de Produção 2024 (XXXI SIMPEP) - ISSN: 1809-7189. Autores: Gabriel Dudena de Faria (Bolsista Probolsas), Daniel Christian Henrique
Estudo aprovado e publicado no Simpósio de Engenharia de Produção 2024 (XXXI SIMPEP) - ISSN: 1809-7189. Autores: Daniel Christian Henrique, João Carlos Prats Ramos (Bolsista Pibic), Luiz Ricardo Mendes da Silva, Eduardo de Souza Ronsoni, Jucemar Paes Neto (Bolsista Probolsas).
Estudo aprovado e publicado no Simpósio de Engenharia de Produção 2024 (XXXI SIMPEP) - ISSN: 1809-7189. Autores: Daniel Christian Henrique, Ivan Aune de Aguiar Filho (Bolsista Probolsas)
Por Daniel Christian Henrique, Arthur Fermiano Gallate Ribeiro (bolsista de extensão Probolsas), Sabrina Knoll Godoy Ilha, João Vitor Savi e Fabio Augusto Dittrich. Em sequência à divulgação da série de informes extensionistas na temática da evolução dos salários industriais nas diferentes regiões geográficas do país, realizando um comparativo entre o período imediatamente anterior a pandemia com o período pandêmico, divulgamos os resultados e análises da região nordeste.
Por Daniel Christian Henrique e João Vitor Savi (bolsista de extensão Probolsas). Em continuidade às análises das alterações das taxas dos juros básicos da economia norte-americana, o Fed Funds Target, nas reuniões do FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) pelo Fed, ingressamos neste estudo em uma segunda variável voltada ao âmbito da energia que está em constante atenção pelo comitê frente a pressão inflacionária que tem exercido com mais força no período pós pandêmico - decorrido de seu forte impacto em cadeia nos preços dos produtos: os combustíveis. Analisamos em separado os impactos gerados e sofridos pelos preços do diesel e da gasolina, após averiguações de diferentes defasagens nas análises realizadas previamente.
By Daniel Christian Henrique and Ivan Aune de Aguiar Filho (Probolsas extension scholarship holder). The entry and exit of the capital market and fixed income seems to be constantly maintained as the cycles of high and low Selic rates take shape, mainly to combat inflation. Therefore, it is to be expected that the beginning of the cuts to the current high Selic rates will now begin, again, the opposite path: a portion will return to variable income. It will be? This is the purpose of this study: to statistically investigate the dependence of the Ibov score on changes in the Selic rate by COPOM, as well as what the delay period (lag) of this impact would be. To this end, the Vector Autoregressive (VAR) methodology was adopted to analyze the lagged relationship of the following time series collected and adjusted for monthly data between May 2000 and August 2023.
By Daniel Christian Henrique, Luiz Ricardo Mendes da Silva and Ivan Aune de Aguiar Filho (Probolsas extension scholarship holder). The GPFA started a comparative study on the evolution of the impact generated by the per capita household income of the Bolsa Família social program (or former Auxílio Brasil) on the average per capita household income of Brazilians. In the first study, this relationship was compared between the years 2012 and 2019. After, finally, the entire pandemic period, and already with the pace of employability growing semester after semester, returning to pre-pandemic levels (and not that they were high or good...), it is opportune to make another comparison, now, for the year 2022 - when the Emergency Aid was already revoked and the Brazil Aid resumed, with the necessary reductions of the beneficiaries of the previous program...
By Daniel Christian Henrique and Lucas Ferreira Mazagão. Previously, the GPFA had started a study on the dependent relationship between the prices of food parcels in Brazilian capitals and the average income of their workers, addressing their causality over time and their consequent time lag. This report maintains the continuity and updating of this study, however now addressing cross section data only for 2022 and consequently without analysis of delays in impacts. Due to the fact that the average real income of residents in the capitals is 34% higher than that of wage earners (IBGE) throughout Brazil in 2022, it is pertinent to ask: would such an increase have an excessive impact on increases in the prices of food parcels in the capitals resulting from a possible greater demand ? The quotations for food parcels were obtained from Dieese (Inter-Union Department of Statistics and Economic Studies), while the values of average real monthly income of people (over 14 years old) were obtained from the IBGE (Brazilian Institute of Economics and Statistics).
By João Carlos Prats Ramos (Probolsas extension scholarship holder) and Daniel Christian Henrique. Recently there has been a great instability in the price of milk. In this year alone, the value for the purchase of the beverage increased by 60% (EMBRAPA, 2022), being one of the main responsible for the inflationary increases in the food and beverage sector. However, there was a 37.6% drop in price in September compared to August. In view of the price increases this year in the price of milk in Brazil, followed by its initial recent low, four statistical models were proposed to forecast its average price for the next twelve months in Brazil and in the state of Santa Catarina: Arima, Additive / Multiplicative Holt-Winters and Neural Network. Both time series were collected and organized for the period from January 2012 to September 2022.